European Populism Probably Doesn’t Threaten Markets

European Populism Probably Doesn’t Threaten Markets

In early February, Italian Co-Deputy Prime Minister Luigi Di Maio met with France’s Gilets Jaunes (Yellow Vest) protestors. The leader of the populist Five Star Movement (M5S) thus triggered a diplomatic row, with French Prime Minister Emmanuel Macron recalling his...
Evidence for Growth in Seven Charts

Evidence for Growth in Seven Charts

Is a global recession lurking behind 2018’s volatility? Our survey of financial media publications suggests many believe so, seeing slowdowns in some economic data as evidence. But whilst recession fears may have risen, a look at a broad swath of data doesn’t...
Don’t Fret QE’s End

Don’t Fret QE’s End

With eurozone GDP (gross domestic product, a government-produced estimate of national economic output) growth slowing in Q3, our survey of financial media publications turned up many worries the European Central Bank’s (ECB’s) mid-December decision to end its...
Eurozone Growth Chugging Along

Eurozone Growth Chugging Along

In our survey of media publications, we have seen some commentators argue Q3’s slower eurozone growth presages recession, but we think this conclusion is premature. Growth headwinds cited in much of the recent commentary we encountered seem overstated. Meanwhile,...
What Moves Markets Most May Surprise You

What Moves Markets Most May Surprise You

In our regular review of financial media, we often find headlines speculating over what will affect equity prices. Many treat the relationship between news and market movement as clear cut. For example, a weak economic data report must automatically be “bad” for...
Overlooked Positive Trade Developments

Overlooked Positive Trade Developments

Amid the many negative trade headlines we have seen recently in our survey of media publications, it is perhaps easy to overlook positive trade developments. But several new trade deals are in the works and nearing completion, underscoring what we think is a bullish...